Yes position
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $155.01
- Potential payout
- $645.86
- Potential profit
- $490.85
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$114.35
Polymarket Trader
Lululololol
0x2dc244ba95ff7cdd2bf632c1c76fbce1233c1e51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $155.71
- Realized PnL
- $6.76K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $156.01
- Potential profit
- $155.31
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $358.62
No position
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $53.8
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.86
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.05
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.77
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.62
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.56
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.92
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 41.7% 645.86 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 2.6% 2,863.83 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 2.9% 7,037.14 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 7,009.28 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes 3.8% 2,891.69 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.3% 96,418.1 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2% 6,100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.5% 6,023.84 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.1% 9,370.48 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 1.7% 5,588.24 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 1,000.63 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.3% 6,565.22 shares