Polymarket Trader

steiner

0x2dd15107f0b6b3ff71ab747432e6bb0b76037af0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $921.5
Realized PnL: $982.42
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $507.99
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.49K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $268

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62K
Potential profit: $9.62K
User PnL: -$182.75

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from South America?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.59K
Potential profit: $6.59K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $133.95
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $5.57K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $34.25

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $9.8
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.79K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$40.6

Yes position

Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$178

Yes position

Will the next Pope be named Francis?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$127

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$127

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $971.5
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$21.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $62
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $938
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Sweden?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $99
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $900.99
Multiplier: 10.10x
User PnL: $32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$81

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.98
Potential profit: $399.98
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $359.98
Potential profit: $358.72
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$9.54

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.99
Potential profit: $209.99
User PnL: -$48.3

Yes position

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $79
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $121
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will new pope be 70+ years old?

Ends May 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $128.57

No position

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.26

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.71

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $39.91

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.29

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.14

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Fiorentina win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$260

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Sweden?

Yes 3.3% 1,000 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 2,800 shares
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?

Yes 3.2% 143.99 shares
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

No 38.9% 200 shares
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

No 38.9% 200 shares
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

No 37% 99.14 shares
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?

No 90.8% 50 shares
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

Yes 15% 1,000 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

No 73.3% 140 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

No 72.9% 137.26 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 30% 1,000 shares
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Yes 12% 1,058.33 shares