No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
RandomGuy01
0x2dd690869a2fa75e1b08f908ab5265bdcc735dda
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $140.28
- Realized PnL
- $2.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $75.32
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $58.01
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $35.32
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $15.63
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $109.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $20.68
- Potential payout
- $81.08
- Potential profit
- $60.41
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$9.32
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $28.66
- Potential payout
- $44.78
- Potential profit
- $16.12
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.42
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.9
Yes position
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.68
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $104.15
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.93
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.38
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.85
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.42
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.54
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.01
Yes position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.38
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.64
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.25
No position
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 30% 133.33 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 67% 44.78 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 20% 125 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 0.5% 1,050.88 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 12% 166.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 37% 81.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.9% 221.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 51.8% 125.4 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 75.4% 126.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 74% 26.97 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 26.98 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 55.5% 126.05 shares