No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$232
Polymarket Trader
0x5F3e28FbBbE00F278f89f77e9A10bA6F00a95b56-1757079790766
0x2df0697497a821ea0a1cd398a91a676742fe0a84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.17K
- Realized PnL
- $7.7
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $368
- Potential profit
- $322
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$30.9
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $71.15
- Potential payout
- $279
- Potential profit
- $207.86
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $135.96
- Potential payout
- $264
- Potential profit
- $128.04
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $154.11
- Potential payout
- $259
- Potential profit
- $104.9
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $25.21
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Current value
- $52.12
- Potential payout
- $234.26
- Potential profit
- $182.14
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $16.74
- Potential payout
- $186
- Potential profit
- $169.26
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.28
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $138.61
- Potential payout
- $167
- Potential profit
- $28.39
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.7%
- Current value
- $89.09
- Potential payout
- $141.99
- Potential profit
- $52.91
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$15.7
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $132.3
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $20.93
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $114.08
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $91.02
- Potential payout
- $123
- Potential profit
- $31.98
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $107.3
- Potential payout
- $116
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $58.3
- Potential payout
- $106
- Potential profit
- $47.7
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $3.18
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $101.66
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
No position
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $86.36
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $14.64
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $19.11
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $58.89
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $67.74
- Potential profit
- $36.24
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $9.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $45.82
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.73
No position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.7%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 10 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 52% 53 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 52% 53 shares
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 52 shares
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 52 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 54% 24 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 80% 53 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 80% 52 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 81% 10 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?Yes 2.9% 52 shares
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?Yes 2.3% 51 shares