Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $461.5
- Potential profit
- $461.5
- User PnL
- -$8.59
Polymarket Trader
Dndiwonrfksoekrjwp
0x2e07b859d5f4dd727f6be49482fc0053f102f10e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.07
- Realized PnL
- $87.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $413.65
- Potential profit
- $411.58
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$65.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.38
- Potential profit
- $134.38
- User PnL
- -$7.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.35
- Potential profit
- $126.35
- User PnL
- -$9.98
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.82
- Potential profit
- $62.82
- User PnL
- -$17.31
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.09
- Potential profit
- $58.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.43
- Potential profit
- $18.43
- User PnL
- -$10.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.52
- Potential profit
- $16.52
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 19, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.21
- Potential profit
- $12.21
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.29
- Potential profit
- $11.29
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.09
- Potential profit
- $11.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.14
- Potential profit
- $10.14
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.07
- Potential profit
- $9.07
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.98
- Potential profit
- $7.98
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.59
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- User PnL
- -$5.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.96
- Potential profit
- $5.96
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.48
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- User PnL
- -$2.96
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 16, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.8% 228.21 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 54.3% 79.08 shares
- Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.4% 185.44 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 33.9% 79.07 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 25.2% 158.15 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes 48.4% 82.42 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes 79.3% 82.42 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 77% 84.9 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 77.3% 84.91 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 15% 33.33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 74% 95.41 shares
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 77.1% 95.41 shares