Polymarket Trader

kaixia

0x2e0f3b0fbafb2c5322850ff388d3a4fb08da633e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.62
Realized PnL: $4.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $19.62
Potential payout: $83.47
Potential profit: $63.85
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$16.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

US Cremonese position

Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Illinois Fighting Illini position

Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.8%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.2

Thunder position

Jazz vs. Thunder

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 24.8% 147.95 shares
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?

Yes 86% 46.36 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 11?

Yes 49% 14.31 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?

Yes 73% 47.56 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 92% 5.5 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 97.2% 6.17 shares
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 98.9% 9.09 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 59% 13.56 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 87% 6.9 shares
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.2% 5.03 shares
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.3% 5.04 shares
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.3% 6.03 shares