Polymarket Trader

0x2E1C6E971cff5c3259090d3dEa7802A15e4eDB61-1779115991589

0x2e1c6e971cff5c3259090d3dea7802a15e4edb61

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $8.1K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $281.27
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $135.98

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $333.94
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $66.66

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $114.76
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $20.92

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $19.57
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$14.75

Yes position

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$8.77

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $981.42
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $29.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $74.51

Yes position

Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $164.41
Potential payout: $865.29
Potential profit: $700.88
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$145.93

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $336.87
Potential payout: $575.84
Potential profit: $238.97
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $103

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $391.77
Potential payout: $423.53
Potential profit: $31.76
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $26.26

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $346.37
Potential payout: $414.81
Potential profit: $68.44
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $15.77

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$2.3

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $210.67
Potential payout: $246.4
Potential profit: $35.73
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$5.94

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.3
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$19.3

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $134.25
Potential payout: $190.42
Potential profit: $56.17
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $112.86
Potential payout: $118.74
Potential profit: $5.88
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.75

Yes position

Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $51.63
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $57.07
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $70
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Vivo Keyd Stars qualify to the EWC

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.3
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $41.79
Potential payout: $74.63
Potential profit: $32.84
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$8.21

No position

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $53.56
Potential payout: $62.64
Potential profit: $9.08
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $18.48

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $30.51
Potential payout: $61.01
Potential profit: $30.51
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$4.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will OpenAI raise between $30B and $40B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $42.72
Potential payout: $43.02
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.7
Potential profit: $24.7
User PnL: -$1.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?

Yes 0.7% 100 shares
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

No 99% 13.01 shares
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 82% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 11?

No 99.9% 32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11?

No 99.8% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11?

No 99.8% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 10?

No 99.7% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 9?

No 99.8% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 8?

No 98.3% 101.74 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 8?

No 95% 10.11 shares
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

No 96.9% 18.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 8?

No 98.5% 5 shares