Polymarket Trader

shadowboy

0x2e1f35ed492c3e794bc54722db5aa54af14498b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.91K
Realized PnL: $2.52K
Win rate: 40.9%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $592.66
Potential payout: $11.29K
Potential profit: $10.7K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$307.33

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $11.62
Potential payout: $5.81K
Potential profit: $5.8K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$88.38

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.58K
Potential profit: $5.58K
User PnL: -$595.54

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $3.65K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $176.7
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$561.77

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.1%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $439.15
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $132.05

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $808.88
Potential profit: $808.88
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $522.73
Potential profit: $522.73
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $518.52
Potential profit: $518.52
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $516.13
Potential profit: $516.13
User PnL: -$320

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $509.62
Potential profit: $509.62
User PnL: -$265

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $509.26
Potential profit: $509.26
User PnL: -$275

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506.49
Potential profit: $506.49
User PnL: -$390

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $715.7

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $381.82

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.5

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.33

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.79

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.85

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.75

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.86

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$62.5

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$96.18

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$245.27

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$284.24

Yes position

Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$300.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 70.4% 1,571.19 shares
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 27% 518.52 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 58% 508.62 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 95.2% 508.19 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 3.6% 522.72 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 22% 522.73 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 508.2 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 16% 500 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 78% 500 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 12% 520.83 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 85% 507.93 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 24% 520.83 shares