Yes position
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x2e30c46b0f1bd5E53FF6FCe0952Ee70FF7c24f3a-1766996290017
0x2e30c46b0f1bd5e53ff6fce0952ee70ff7c24f3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.2
- Realized PnL
- $525.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.45
- Potential profit
- $103.45
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $79.02
- Potential profit
- $76.68
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.1
- Potential profit
- $64.1
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.06
- Potential profit
- $63.06
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.02
- Potential profit
- $49.02
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.57
- Potential profit
- $48.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.11
- Potential profit
- $47.11
- User PnL
- -$9.93
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.33
- Potential profit
- $45.33
- User PnL
- -$38.08
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.98
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.63
- Potential profit
- $37.63
- User PnL
- -$20.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.3
- Potential profit
- $36.3
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.07
- Potential profit
- $33.07
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $31.7
- Potential payout
- $31.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.7
No position
Will Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.48
- Potential profit
- $29.48
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.17
- Potential payout
- $28.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.27
- Potential profit
- $26.27
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.1
- Potential profit
- $24.1
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.63
No position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.89
No position
Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.29
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.49
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
No position
Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: January
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.42
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iraq by February 28?No 84% 45.33 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 71% 28.17 shares
- Will "Alien" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)No 40.2% 12.44 shares
- Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?Yes 40% 12.5 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?Yes 15% 20 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?No 41.5% 24.1 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 63.1% 31.7 shares
- Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. CzechiaCzechia 10% 20 shares
- Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No 46.4% 10.77 shares
- Will China record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No 20.9% 23.97 shares
- Will New Zealand record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No 40% 12.5 shares
- Will Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No 16% 31.25 shares