No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$380
Polymarket Trader
syntheticCarrot
0x2e36665ce627b91e41cbf77215e2a93b2d6992c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $218.5
- Realized PnL
- $268.73
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $218.5
- Potential payout
- $460
- Potential profit
- $241.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$190.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.5
No position
Iran Nuke in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.62
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.33
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
No position
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
No position
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Israeli troops enter Beirut by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.64
No position
OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.8
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.9
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 89% 460 shares
- US strike on Cuba by January 31?No 95.8% 180 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No 76% 287.97 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No 94.8% 400 shares
- Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?Yes 93.3% 200 shares
- Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No 95.8% 89.82 shares
- OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?No 26% 80 shares
- OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?No 25% 20 shares
- GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?No 95% 60 shares
- TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No 77% 70 shares
- Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No 81% 70 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?No 83% 79.43 shares