Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Polymarket Trader
scratacorn
0x2e3a93094a7897105533cebae59f252d04d5bb1d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $431.62
- Realized PnL
- $2.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.98
- Potential profit
- $499.98
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $464.36
- Potential profit
- $464.36
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Grok 4.4 released by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $431.62
- Potential payout
- $456.74
- Potential profit
- $25.12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.99
- Potential profit
- $332.99
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.97
- Potential profit
- $165.97
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $71
- User PnL
- -$9.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.99
- Potential profit
- $51.99
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.65
- Potential profit
- $43.65
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.98
- Potential profit
- $40.98
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.99
- Potential profit
- $33.99
- User PnL
- -$9.86
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.98
- Potential profit
- $22.98
- User PnL
- -$9.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.99
- Potential profit
- $21.99
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.13
- Potential profit
- $21.13
- User PnL
- -$9.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$9.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$9.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $21
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.89
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 23-29?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.09
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes 97% 13.68 shares
- Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Yes 93.9% 443.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown 56% 4.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown 50% 5.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown 50% 5.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown 50% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETUp 51% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETUp 49% 5.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown 50% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp 48% 5.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 51% 5 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?No 98% 360.2 shares