Polymarket Trader

joshuaherman

0x2e4083436c2c45df884b1339af630e740098084e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.8
Realized PnL: $61.95
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $37.8
Potential payout: $37.8
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $20.79

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.68
Potential profit: $22.68
User PnL: -$8.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Joe Pyfer position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.69

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Yes position

Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.52

No position

Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

OConnell position

Qatar Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Christopher O'Connell

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on August 27?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$0.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Yes 37% 22.68 shares
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Gabriella Fernandes 50% 42.06 shares
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Joe Pyfer 45% 28.53 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 45% 37.8 shares
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 64% 19.53 shares
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5

Over 44% 33.18 shares
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score

Yes 58% 19.1 shares
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Yes 41% 28.76 shares
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 54% 22.61 shares
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Delija 53% 31.77 shares
Qatar Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Christopher O'Connell

OConnell 50% 34.32 shares
Argentina Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Etcheverry

Tabilo 41% 30.95 shares