Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.52K
- Potential profit
- $20.52K
- User PnL
- -$54.36
Polymarket Trader
Jimmybear
0x2e423a228df8949284083adcd97b7068684a0dfe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.03
- Realized PnL
- $3.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.53K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- User PnL
- -$42.83
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.72K
- Potential profit
- $6.72K
- User PnL
- -$33.25
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.43K
- Potential profit
- $6.43K
- User PnL
- -$17.92
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.16K
- Potential profit
- $6.16K
- User PnL
- -$11.99
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- User PnL
- -$11.52
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- User PnL
- -$18.55
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $15.24
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$23.17
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$11.24
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$12.28
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$12.83
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.39
- Potential payout
- $979.85
- Potential profit
- $974.46
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $10.22
- Potential payout
- $817.79
- Potential profit
- $807.57
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $709.78
- Potential profit
- $704.46
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Yes position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $646.55
- Potential profit
- $642.35
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $522.01
- Potential profit
- $519.67
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $14.13
- Potential payout
- $513.81
- Potential profit
- $499.68
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$11.28
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.09
- Potential profit
- $510.09
- User PnL
- -$9.23
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $489.34
- Potential profit
- $489.34
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $14.53
- Potential payout
- $427.42
- Potential profit
- $412.89
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $463.43
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $461.14
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.28
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $274.48
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $258.4
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $192.12
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.48
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $134.14
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.73
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.89
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.01
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.77
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.97
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.27
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.52
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.64
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.45
No position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.52
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.22
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.36
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.78
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes 3.4% 59.58 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 3.9% 106.97 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 140 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes 3.6% 127.91 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2% 168.77 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2% 167.34 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.1% 100.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 30 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 1.5% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 10 shares