0x2E4BB967d2660FF3F6208A870E8579E65B5683E2-1768163050350

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $29.09
Potential payout: $187.65
Potential profit: $158.56
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$31.92

Yes position

Will FalleN win a S-Tier event before June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.62
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.77

Yes position

MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $17.65
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $129.41
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $35.33
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $98
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $33.33
Potential payout: $121.21
Potential profit: $87.88
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $23.44
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $80.73
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Ecuador reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $15.2
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.8
Multiplier: 6.58x
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $97.5
Potential profit: $97.06
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$50.26

Yes position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $37.82
Potential payout: $72.73
Potential profit: $34.91
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $17.01
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $52.43
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$7.99

Yes position

Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $24.01
Potential payout: $65.79
Potential profit: $41.78
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $32.26
Potential payout: $63.25
Potential profit: $30.99
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $13.13

Yes position

Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $31.69
Potential payout: $61.54
Potential profit: $29.85
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $8.31

Yes position

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.4B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $22.73
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $37.88
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$12.35

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $51.22
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $9.39
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $11.21

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $57.02
Potential payout: $60.34
Potential profit: $3.32
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $22.02

No position

Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $6.02
Potential payout: $52.08
Potential profit: $46.06
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will Florian Wirtz score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $23.42
Potential payout: $51.47
Potential profit: $28.05
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$11.52

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $36.2
Potential payout: $50.63
Potential profit: $14.43
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.13
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$33.13

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $10.34
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $38.44
Multiplier: 4.72x
User PnL: -$29.66

No position

Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $45.3
Potential payout: $48.19
Potential profit: $2.89
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.18

Over position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.82

Yes position

Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Under position

Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.24

Yes position

Will "Trump" or "Biden" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 1)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.44

Magda Linette position

Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.86

Under position

Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.81

Under position

Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Egypt position

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.58

Philadelphia Phillies position

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Las Vegas Aces position

Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

Over position

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $9.21

Yes position

Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

Greece position

Spread: Italy (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

No position

Will João Félix be in Portugal's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.51

No position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $4.83

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.77

Team Secret Whales position

LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $4.05

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?