AndresRdz

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $17.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$14.25

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $21.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $55.5
Potential payout: $999.96
Potential profit: $944.46
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$19.88

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $87.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $512.1
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $35.7

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.7
Potential profit: $517.7
User PnL: -$145.65

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $49.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $450.75
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $68.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $431.25
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$8.25

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $15.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $484.75
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $477.75
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $40.75
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $459.24
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $73.74
Potential payout: $398.58
Potential profit: $324.84
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$71.63

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $56.55
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $243.45
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $219.95
Potential payout: $271.54
Potential profit: $51.59
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $44.03

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $197.7
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$21.3

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $6.27
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $103.73
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$43.88

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $57.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $42.85
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $18.65

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15.11

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12.9

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$23.4

Yes position

No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 24, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $3.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.47

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $84

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.96

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.43

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

No position

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Under position

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.27

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

No position

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.76

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.35

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?