Polymarket Trader

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0x2e593f76a99e5eae42b7b96dd67c57fc5ef89ee2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.97
Realized PnL: $3.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.2
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $2.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.64
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $1.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on September 9?

Ends Sep 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $1.16
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Yes 52% 1.92 shares
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Yes 66% 1.52 shares
Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

Yes 56% 1.79 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 54% 1.85 shares
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 64% 1.56 shares
Will Trump say "Tariff" or "Inflation" 20+ times during Iowa speech?

Yes 72% 1.39 shares
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?

Yes 60% 1.67 shares
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?

Yes 63% 1.59 shares
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 56% 1.79 shares