pleasee1

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $8.48
Potential profit: $4.37
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $8.46
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $4.72
Potential payout: $8.07
Potential profit: $3.35
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $6.29
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $2.47
Potential payout: $7.83
Potential profit: $5.36
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.47
Potential profit: $7.47
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $6.94
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $6.76
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $6.59
Potential profit: $4.84
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $6.48
Potential profit: $5.19
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $6.38
Potential profit: $2.39
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.34
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $1.84
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.24
Potential profit: $6.24
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $6.24
Potential profit: $3.93
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $6.23
Potential profit: $5.14
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $6.09
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $5.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34
Potential profit: $2.34
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.36

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 23?