Polymarket Trader

lowbal

0x2e6d38d76f4db7c1ed21f8d342838d85170b2a0d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.51K
Realized PnL: $416.61
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.37K
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $29.67
User PnL: $17.96

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.28K
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $23.85
User PnL: $133.07

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $6.3
User PnL: $63.7

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $691.24
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $215.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $70.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $529.5
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $18.3

No position

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $329.2
Potential payout: $376.23
Potential profit: $47.03
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $54.55

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.6%
Current value: $73.65
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $226.35
Multiplier: 4.07x
User PnL: -$14.85

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $246
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $54
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $170.31
Potential payout: $233.31
Potential profit: $62.99
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $18.66

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $26.69
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $108.45
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $93
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $93
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $92.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $94
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $6
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $88.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $93.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $6.95
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $75.6
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $75.52
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $4.48
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $73.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $6.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$31.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $56.4
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $33.83
Potential payout: $36.38
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.31

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.84

No position

Netanyahu out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.31

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 100 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

No 85% 100 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 200 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?

Yes 92% 100 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 135.14 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 120 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Yes 93% 45 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 56% 100 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

No 52% 60 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Yes 93% 60 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?

Yes 92% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.7% 1,400 shares