No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $328.21
- Potential payout
- $358.7
- Potential profit
- $30.49
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Polymarket Trader
0x2E755672Cd5A5bf3bB911EB3f2A3Fb0F9b5b7689-1773720303155
0x2e755672cd5a5bf3bb911eb3f2a3fb0f9b5b7689
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $429.18
- Realized PnL
- $23.24
- Win rate
- 84.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $50.2
- Potential payout
- $57.05
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $50.77
- Potential payout
- $53.42
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.58
- Potential profit
- $13.58
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No 92% 358.7 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87.6% 57.05 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?No 93.6% 53.42 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?No 81% 13.58 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.5% 405.95 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 82% 12.2 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 354.94 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 354.95 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?Yes 91.3% 43.83 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 32.26 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?Yes 3% 66.67 shares