No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.95K
- Potential profit
- $59.95K
- User PnL
- -$6.97K
Polymarket Trader
Richdale
0x2e7a8329d729d986aead6b58b75d9301c4b429f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.27K
- Realized PnL
- $2.53K
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.44K
- Potential profit
- $32.44K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.58K
- Potential profit
- $14.58K
- User PnL
- -$1.79K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $8.56K
- Potential profit
- $7.56K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.67K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.64K
- Potential profit
- $4.64K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $643.85
- Potential profit
- $643.85
- User PnL
- -$3.73
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $90.2
- Potential payout
- $295.73
- Potential profit
- $205.53
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$10.8
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $130.61
- Potential payout
- $204.08
- Potential profit
- $73.47
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $30.61
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $8.88
- Potential payout
- $149.25
- Potential profit
- $140.37
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $11.95
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $83.29
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $75.19
- Potential profit
- $64.92
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.18
- Potential profit
- $60.18
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $10.68
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $43.38
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.66
- Potential profit
- $50.66
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.11
- Potential profit
- $45.11
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.07
- Potential profit
- $45.07
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $41.45
- Potential profit
- $39.88
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.54
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.49
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.56
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.64
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$51.8
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$61.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$126.65
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$374.35
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.14K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 96% 1,041.67 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Yes 14% 277.77 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Yes 36% 277.78 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.7% 16,567.27 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.1% 16,777.02 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.4% 15,625 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 49% 204.08 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 34% 294.12 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 17,543.86 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 8,474.58 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 5.2% 19.23 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 62% 1.61 shares