Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $29
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.99
Polymarket Trader
vafr23qr53
0x2e8953d148c62c1b8fb73b46ea32d09a7c2e1990
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $56.2
- Realized PnL
- $32.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $22.19
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Njokuani position
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuani
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Netflix acquire streaming rights to UFC next?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.65
No position
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Van position
UFC 317: Royval vs. Van
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.7
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar be named the Billboard Greatest artist of 2024?
Ends Dec 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.16
No position
UFC Fight Night: Taira and Rębecki
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Sergei Syrankov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will "Love Hurts" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8-11m?
Ends Feb 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Anna Kanopatskaya win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Alexander Khabnyak win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Olga Sustanova win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Chop Robinson win NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Kanye name his token SWASTIKA?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?Up 69% 29 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No 72% 29 shares
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No 99.8% 2 shares
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No 99.8% 1 shares
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No 99.8% 1 shares
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?No 99.8% 1 shares
- Will Netflix acquire streaming rights to UFC next?Yes 50% 5 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Taira and RębeckiNo 50% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No 53% 5 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. NjokuaniNjokuani 55% 10 shares
- UFC 317: Royval vs. VanVan 51% 30 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No 99.8% 3.01 shares