Polymarket Trader

0x2e8e...5b53

0x2e8ee18b940a87270cd89b6a9f7870e0903b5b53

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.16K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $218.61
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $2.35K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$12.86

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $243.04
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$34.72

No position

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $118.74
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $16.76

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $248
Potential payout: $992
Potential profit: $744
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$29.76

No position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $108.06
Potential payout: $745.23
Potential profit: $637.17
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $39.13
Potential payout: $588.49
Potential profit: $549.35
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $34.87
Potential payout: $410.28
Potential profit: $375.41
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$14.36

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $78.34
Potential payout: $392.67
Potential profit: $314.33
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $4.12

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of June 29 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $53.71
Potential payout: $325.5
Potential profit: $271.79
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $73.03
Potential payout: $298.1
Potential profit: $225.07
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $155.92
Potential payout: $251.48
Potential profit: $95.56
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $37.72

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $112.28
Potential payout: $238.9
Potential profit: $126.62
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $42.7
Potential payout: $230.82
Potential profit: $188.12
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.1%
Current value: $26.81
Potential payout: $222.49
Potential profit: $195.68
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $92.5
Potential payout: $186.87
Potential profit: $94.37
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $39.59
Potential payout: $183.71
Potential profit: $144.12
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $7.07

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $37.2
Potential payout: $165.33
Potential profit: $128.13
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $38.89
Potential payout: $155.54
Potential profit: $116.66
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 29 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $110.9
Potential payout: $144.02
Potential profit: $33.12
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $46.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $51.17
Potential payout: $104.43
Potential profit: $53.26
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $35.22
Potential payout: $99.2
Potential profit: $63.98
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $48.66
Potential payout: $98.3
Potential profit: $49.64
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $60.74
Potential payout: $97.97
Potential profit: $37.23
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 65% 53.41 shares
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

No 10% 1,249.92 shares
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 8 shares
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 45% 77.15 shares
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 16% 61.11 shares
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?

No 75% 46.29 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 18.9% 392.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?

No 61% 82.11 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

No 72% 48.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 69% 50.31 shares
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?

No 90% 38.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 17.7% 172.77 shares