Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $173.08
- Potential profit
- $172.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Polymarket Trader
0x2ea4...90ed
0x2ea473d69e3b2cbe9472e8cc7b1b42bec7f990ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $96.55
- Realized PnL
- $386.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $100.32
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $103.69
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $82.89
- Potential profit
- $82.14
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $42.39
- Potential payout
- $54.7
- Potential profit
- $12.31
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $42.15
- Potential payout
- $51.09
- Potential profit
- $8.94
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $31.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.23
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $20.67
- Potential profit
- $20.64
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $14.02
- Potential profit
- $14.02
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $13.77
- Potential profit
- $13.42
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.45
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $13.45
- Potential profit
- $13.43
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $11.42
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $10.4
- Potential profit
- $9.46
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $10.13
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 5.52x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $7.56
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?Yes 15% 5.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?Yes 78.6% 25.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?Yes 67% 29.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?Yes 13.7% 10.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?Yes 1.3% 18.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?Yes 5% 20.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?Yes 5.4% 23.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?Yes 35% 4.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?Yes 45% 4.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?Yes 46% 2.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?Yes 44% 2.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 19?Yes 10% 10.4 shares