Polymarket Trader

what-are-the-odds

0x2eb9d4ffd5182f034d37b1d5f15e02adff177459

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $778.44
Realized PnL: $1.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.82K
Potential profit: $3.82K
User PnL: -$181

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $52
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $207.6
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$95.62

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $145
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $855
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $875
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $23.53
Potential payout: $692
Potential profit: $668.47
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$8.15

Yes position

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $661.67
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $462.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $69.75
Potential payout: $449.99
Potential profit: $380.24
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$24.75

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $402.33
Potential profit: $402.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.8

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $29.73
Potential payout: $283.1
Potential profit: $253.37
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $47.11
Potential payout: $140.63
Potential profit: $93.52
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $73
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.25
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $40.73
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.27

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.71

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $158.75

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $151.88

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.08

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.85

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.05

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.69

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $84.36

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.25

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.97

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.07

No position

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.47

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.69

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.37

No position

Will Kamala Harris say "Inflation" 3 or more times during Friday speech?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Yes position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Yes 11% 420 shares
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 4.3% 1,000 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 3.5% 999.99 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 17% 249.99 shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 12% 200 shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 12% 300 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Yes 70% 15.57 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Yes 54.1% 200 shares
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yes 28% 100 shares
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Yes 13% 45 shares