Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.5K
- Potential profit
- $13.5K
- User PnL
- -$359.98
Polymarket Trader
JuicedBunched
0x2eba0bd81e35707040c4dc84071b3bb90d32ffa3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.49K
- Realized PnL
- $17.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.54K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$563
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $248.35
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$217.85
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $139.65
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$47.97
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$589.64
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $988.2
- Potential profit
- $988.2
- User PnL
- -$156.43
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.3%
- Current value
- $341.67
- Potential payout
- $827.3
- Potential profit
- $485.63
- Multiplier
- 2.42x
- User PnL
- $308.97
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$34.8
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $162
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $238
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$78
No position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $300
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $330
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $70
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $122
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $36.99
- Potential payout
- $399.94
- Potential profit
- $362.94
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- -$60.19
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $275.38
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$56.98
Yes position
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $180
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $60
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $57.6
No position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $205.92
- Potential payout
- $230.08
- Potential profit
- $24.16
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $50.47
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $115
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $101
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $99
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $173
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $50
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $168.49
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $28.9
- Potential payout
- $199.33
- Potential profit
- $170.43
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$20.93
No position
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $81
- Potential payout
- $179.99
- Potential profit
- $99
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$27.2
No position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $16.2
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $103.8
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$34.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.08
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $839.51
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.63
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $798.55
Yes position
Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $682.41
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.06
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $645.39
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $532.44
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.37
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.23
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.37
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.75
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.44
No position
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.82
No position
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.36
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $318
No position
Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.8
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.47
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.04
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes 55% 536.33 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 17.2% 75 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 17% 2,194.49 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?Yes 8% 660 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 15% 123.53 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?Yes 7.5% 584.92 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes 14.9% 45 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes 47% 5 shares
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No 83% 200 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.2% 99.99 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 52% 200 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 24.3% 205 shares