Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.48
Polymarket Trader
curaviva91
0x2ecbc1b349e78f44df8e5c040aaa0f497d77f583
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $42.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Boise State position
New Mexico vs. Boise State
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Wichita State position
Tulane vs. Wichita State
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will "Anuja" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.48
Boise State position
New Mexico vs. Boise State
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Wichita State position
Tulane vs. Wichita State
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will "Anuja" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 10?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 reach space?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No 98.8% 610 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.6% 724 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.6% 724 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.8% 613 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.8% 613 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 90.7% 731 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 90.7% 731 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.9% 610 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.7% 700 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4.1% 696 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 92.5% 716 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 92.5% 716 shares