No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $3.65K
- Potential payout
- $4.12K
- Potential profit
- $474.15
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $177.91
Polymarket Trader
OTTF
0x2ece9aea1e1522edf10a58af0254408a098eacf2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.65K
- Realized PnL
- $27.18K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.87K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.13
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $770.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611.44
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.04
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.66
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.77
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $37.9
No position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.11
No position
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.72
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$14.46
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$29.25
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$101.16
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$118.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.2% 4,123.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.4% 3,492.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 81.9% 3,492.39 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 78.3% 2,965.4 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 81.9% 2,965.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 17% 17,432.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 77.9% 13,632.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 42.9% 24,765.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 79% 1,546.84 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 84% 150 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 93.1% 1,178.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76.2% 23,219.09 shares