Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $196.35
- Potential payout
- $473.13
- Potential profit
- $276.78
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$53.65
Polymarket Trader
MadamKlopsel
0x2ed0636a232102617bf37858689deb457629a062
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $599.64
- Realized PnL
- -$19.28
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $125.68
- Potential payout
- $441.15
- Potential profit
- $315.47
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$108.73
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $40.4
- Potential payout
- $323.16
- Potential profit
- $282.77
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$59.78
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $237.22
- Potential payout
- $284.09
- Potential profit
- $46.87
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$12.78
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.75
- Potential profit
- $133.75
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.82
- Potential profit
- $40.82
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.7
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.35
Yes position
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.85
Yes position
Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.14
No position
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.19
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.99
Yes position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.92
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.02
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.61
Yes position
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.37
Yes position
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
No position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$61.64
No position
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$249.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 49% 40.82 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 35% 57.14 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?Yes 15% 133.75 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 31% 645.16 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 88% 284.09 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 52.8% 473.13 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Yes 53.1% 564.58 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 11% 348.71 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 3% 1,677.63 shares
- Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes 66.4% 144.88 shares
- Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes 92.8% 107.76 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 28.7% 348.71 shares