No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$98.56
Polymarket Trader
0x2ED28459C6eB39E80dAA120B9328DD97E5e89D82-1772745518781
0x2ed28459c6eb39e80daa120b9328dd97e5e89d82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $804.14
- Realized PnL
- $485.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $580.94
- Potential payout
- $660.15
- Potential profit
- $79.22
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $25.93
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $73.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $64.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $35.5
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $87.8
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Under position
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $40.75
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $18.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $18.75
Under position
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.95
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- User PnL
- -$12.57
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.57
- Potential profit
- $19.57
- User PnL
- -$13.7
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.94
- Potential profit
- $9.94
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 3PM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.67
- Potential profit
- $9.67
- User PnL
- -$5.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
England position
Spread: England (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.24
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.27
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.58
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.37
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.15
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.75
Under position
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.84
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.87
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 29% 40 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21?No 47% 100 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21?Yes 44% 100 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 21?Yes 1.6% 10 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21?No 46% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 86% 236 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 69% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 51% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 83% 116.1 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 83% 100 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 21?Yes 2.9% 5 shares