Polymarket Trader

podairpod

0x2ed8f7a10686dbb0fb15f5c3335f30e0043793d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.44K
Realized PnL: $24.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.9%
Current value: $5.88K
Potential payout: $7.09K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $959.81

No position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $4.62K
Potential payout: $5.34K
Potential profit: $720.99
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $781.37

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $2.44K
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $667.78
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$239.49

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.85K
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $197.95
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $295.26

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.51K
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$6.16

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $2.54K
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $379.83
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $368.42

No position

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.33K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $161.75
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $277.71

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $756.17

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $478.09
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $102.91

No position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $1.72K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $182.86
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $206.31

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $85.86
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $303.51

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $860.16
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $689.68
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$255.26

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $769.13
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $442.1
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $261.91

Yes position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $744.44
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $446.67
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $85.75

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $648.75
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $441.59
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$120.29

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $875.57
Potential payout: $944.01
Potential profit: $68.44
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $67.05

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $662.9
Potential payout: $839.11
Potential profit: $176.21
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$41.96

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $291.64
Potential payout: $821.52
Potential profit: $529.88
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$23.65

No position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $637.76
Potential payout: $759.24
Potential profit: $121.48
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $92.11

Yes position

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $310.16
Potential payout: $721.31
Potential profit: $411.15
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$34.7

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $485.34
Potential payout: $693.35
Potential profit: $208
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$36.51

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $489.03
Potential payout: $513.69
Potential profit: $24.66
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $47.43

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $464.62
Potential payout: $494.28
Potential profit: $29.66
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $33.42

No position

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 78.1%
Current value: $327.3
Potential payout: $419.08
Potential profit: $91.78
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$22.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77K

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $849.55

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $841.01

Yes position

Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $823.99

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $782.51

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728.35

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $643.25

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $624.36

Yes position

Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.39

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $562.08

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.77

Yes position

No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.59

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.46

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.64

Yes position

Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $440.1

Yes position

Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.76

Yes position

Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.25

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $385.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 79% 250 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 84% 10 shares
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Yes 50% 201.12 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No 85% 206.53 shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

No 84% 839.11 shares
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

No 81.8% 817.55 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 95.9% 1,908.88 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 87% 102.98 shares
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

No 91.6% 100.25 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 95.9% 500 shares
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

No 90% 250 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 96% 265.12 shares