Polymarket Trader

0x85b58f2298726089d5eb08ca101e4fe1351f6056

0x2eda67d42b7537bb0ef668b16716000bb8f50e71

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.45K
Realized PnL: $5.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $10.52K
Potential profit: $8.78K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$449.87

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $49.2
Potential payout: $2.52K
Potential profit: $2.47K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$50.8

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $628.54
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $535.42
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$21.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.69
Potential profit: $634.69
User PnL: -$125

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.89
Potential profit: $294.89
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.15
Potential profit: $291.15
User PnL: -$171

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.81
Potential profit: $219.81
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $204.08
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $144.93
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.76
Potential profit: $132.76
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $19.83
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $91.28
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: $9.83

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.48
Potential profit: $109.48
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.56
Potential profit: $98.56
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.47
Potential profit: $89.47
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $14.08
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $73.64
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.92
Potential profit: $85.92
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $28.17
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.58
Potential profit: $28.58
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.85

No position

Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?

Ends Nov 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.87

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.78

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $170.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.7

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Up 49% 204.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Up 7% 28.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Up 21% 154.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Up 16.2% 154.37 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 56% 535.71 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Down 16% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Up 77% 207.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Up 61% 163.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Up 58% 43.1 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 18% 1,000 shares