Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $389.51
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $194.3
Polymarket Trader
wkjhghjnbvs
0x2ee468212832fa4f220ccd4948e3dc03c54019c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.23K
- Realized PnL
- $685.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $451.59
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$185.65
No position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $491.32
- Potential payout
- $539.91
- Potential profit
- $48.59
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$8.68
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $332.36
- Potential payout
- $377.68
- Potential profit
- $45.32
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $27.46
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $307.76
- Potential payout
- $310.56
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- User PnL
- $7.76
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $175.8
- Potential payout
- $178.48
- Potential profit
- $2.68
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $20.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.9
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.16
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.82
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.18
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.63
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.58
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.47
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.09
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.13
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.31
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Argentina before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
No position
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 73% 82.47 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 81.4% 184.28 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 73% 205.48 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 82.2% 608.2 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 96.2% 178.47 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 82% 609.76 shares
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No 92.6% 539.91 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 58% 129.87 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 87% 18.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 23% 71.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 86.2% 49.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 22% 192.91 shares