Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $53.76
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
DarkmoonHarbor
0x2eed701b89475695bd16e8f7faf2deb0c0a1868d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50
- Realized PnL
- $21.86
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Pistons position
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.05
- Potential profit
- $10.05
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.38
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 93% 53.76 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 71% 63.38 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 22.91 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96% 22.92 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 93.8% 21.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.5% 20.43 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 20.43 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.2% 19.77 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.1% 19.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 20.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93% 20.43 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.9% 20.18 shares