Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $106.18
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Polymarket Trader
tgrra
0x2efe3307aaedc67e4677a2731d7061be8401ad68
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.06
- Realized PnL
- $7.1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.13
- Potential profit
- $78.13
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $5.48
- Potential payout
- $53.19
- Potential profit
- $47.71
- Multiplier
- 9.71x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $34.46
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $35.05
- Potential profit
- $32.68
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 93.1% 15.47 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?No 6.4% 78.13 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 60.5 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.3% 35.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 60.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 2.8% 107.14 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 9.4% 53.19 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 32.3% 15.48 shares