No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $128.61
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $49.28
Polymarket Trader
flipper11
0x2efeab29cf24dd91a80246fece647b84fe59e2ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.28K
- Realized PnL
- $231.57
- Win rate
- 93.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.39
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.96
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.11
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.22
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98% 2,226 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 2,181.8 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 99.3% 161.5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 99.3% 1,991.44 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99.9% 2,098 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 99.8% 2,075.1 shares
- Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No 99.9% 2,064.74 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 2,054.43 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 99.7% 2,046.21 shares