Polymarket Trader

riskybet92

0x2f03c2a4ea6cdb5e0eac5c29a58981339c70ec6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.43K
Realized PnL: $1.38K
Win rate: 41.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $507.8
Potential payout: $145.09K
Potential profit: $144.58K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$144.94

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $318.37
Potential payout: $14.88K
Potential profit: $14.56K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $22.54

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $231.48
Potential payout: $11.87K
Potential profit: $11.64K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$70.93

Yes position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $3.07K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $48.67
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $954.91
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $576.67
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506.26
Potential profit: $506.26
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $491.93
Potential profit: $491.93
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Austria to score first vs. Argentina?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $137.9
Potential payout: $484.03
Potential profit: $346.13
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$12.1

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $438.6
Potential profit: $438.6
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $98.24
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $246.59
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$1.76

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $354.7

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $102.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $97.98

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $83.89

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $27.85

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.84

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$23.87

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$118.28

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$397

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9K

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.27K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 1,003.58 shares
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 344.83 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 8,695.65 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 50,000 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 25,000 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Yes 11% 909.09 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 34% 1,139.62 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 56.1% 728.4 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 1,800 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 1% 909.85 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 14% 909.86 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 55% 242.8 shares