TobiasJacob

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.71
Potential profit: $119.71
User PnL: -$33.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.93
Potential profit: $75.93
User PnL: -$49.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.26
Potential profit: $75.26
User PnL: -$49.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.59
Potential profit: $67.59
User PnL: -$49.52

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $27.25
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $4.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.86
Potential profit: $46.86
User PnL: -$29.59

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $35.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.44
Potential profit: $36.44
User PnL: -$24.73

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$21.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.06
Potential profit: $15.06
User PnL: -$1.99

Panama position

Spread: Ghana (-5.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10.01
User PnL: -$0.61

Bosnia-Herzegovina position

Spread: Switzerland (-5.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.97
Potential payout: $8.97
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.32
Potential profit: $8.32
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.22
Potential profit: $8.22
User PnL: -$4.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.55
Potential profit: $7.55
User PnL: -$4.94

Under position

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

Uzbekistan position

Spread: DR Congo (-5.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.17

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.66

Yes position

Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.22

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.96

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.99

Yes position

Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.26

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.35

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET