Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $146.74
- Potential payout
- $6.52K
- Potential profit
- $6.38K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Polymarket Trader
Orenzweig
0x2f0d5ab0d6f9ba6d23d9dbf327c3761d2b8b5de2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.93K
- Realized PnL
- $6.59K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $177.08
- Potential payout
- $4.17K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$22.91
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $685.89
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $385.9
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$708.68
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $408.77
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 4.21x
- User PnL
- $131.67
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- User PnL
- -$101
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$251
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$900
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- User PnL
- $211.04
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- User PnL
- -$800
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- User PnL
- -$97.27
Yes position
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$250
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$293.61
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$160
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $902.6
- Potential profit
- $902.6
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.14
Yes position
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.57
Yes position
Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-10-02?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.09
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.18
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.55
Yes position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.68
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.19
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.62
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.59
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.89
Yes position
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.85
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.67
Yes position
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.68
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.69
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.14
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes 27% 1,111.11 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes 27% 1,518.52 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 86% 581.4 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 86% 931.4 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Yes 57% 703.51 shares
- Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes 25% 804 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes 86% 466.28 shares
- Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 31% 193.55 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?Yes 16% 631.25 shares
- Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 12% 833.33 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Yes 6% 1,683.33 shares
- Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?Yes 38% 526.32 shares