Polymarket Trader

stephenwolf69

@SourabhStephen

0x2f0f758dafb85c1b020671fbc7c37cf2e4a4b11d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $144.3
Realized PnL: $1.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$810.95

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $16.51
Potential payout: $673.72
Potential profit: $657.21
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$273.99

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $159.89
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$4.43

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.3

No position

Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $58.4
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $21.6
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $16.39
Potential payout: $49.66
Potential profit: $33.27
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $30.21
Potential payout: $40.01
Potential profit: $9.8
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $4.21

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$6

Gujarat Titans position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.71
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.71
Potential profit: $20.71
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $12.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

43 million or more views

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $14.99
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.37
Potential profit: $12.37
User PnL: -$1.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.58

No position

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.64

No position

Tea FDV above $400M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.6

No position

Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.2

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.6

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.52

Yes position

Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

No position

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.15

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 59%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $25.81

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

Yes position

Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.34

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.47

Yes position

Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.17

No position

Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.7

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.14

Yes position

Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $9.44

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.8% 30 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 673.72 shares
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 39% 39.99 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.5% 15 shares
Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 49% 7.38 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Yes 92.7% 10 shares
Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 68% 20.1 shares
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by June 30?

No 31% 10 shares
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 60% 30 shares
Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 55% 20.1 shares
43 million or more views

Yes 12% 10 shares
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Gujarat Titans 12% 29.99 shares