Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $134.73
- Potential payout
- $997.97
- Potential profit
- $863.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$65.19
Polymarket Trader
0x2F15494c976730F0e2C4dC6A5a8E2b7ac04f0E8b-1765683979641
0x2f15494c976730f0e2c4dc6a5a8e2b7ac04f0e8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $628.93
- Realized PnL
- $318.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $66.37
- Potential payout
- $884.96
- Potential profit
- $818.59
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$61.52
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.9%
- Current value
- $118.92
- Potential payout
- $426.99
- Potential profit
- $308.07
- Multiplier
- 3.59x
- User PnL
- $49.32
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $53.37
- Potential payout
- $377.45
- Potential profit
- $324.08
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $22.91
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $119.96
- Potential payout
- $272.63
- Potential profit
- $152.67
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $77.6
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $82.4
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $16.8
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.76
- Potential profit
- $114.76
- User PnL
- -$26.91
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $23.65
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $86.35
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $53.1
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $32.8
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$9.1
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $22.8
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$11.7
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $23.85
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$8.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.06
- Potential profit
- $21.06
- User PnL
- -$4.96
No position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $16.09
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$7.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.89
- Potential profit
- $11.89
- User PnL
- -$5.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.14
- Potential profit
- $11.14
- User PnL
- -$6.02
No position
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.46
No position
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.97
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.43
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.15
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $25.11
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.8
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.54
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $16.86
No position
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $11.3
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.09
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $10.13
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.05
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 17.5 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 49.6% 38.71 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 18.75 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 50 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 49.4% 38.7 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 42% 9.52 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 49.3% 25.8 shares