Polymarket Trader

ekvelaz

0x2f1637655574050cff8953f59c68387e9f5e063d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $418.75
Realized PnL: $537.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $159.54
Potential payout: $184.54
Potential profit: $25.01
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $159.54

Yes position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $110.39
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $49.29
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $3.71
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $49.29

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.8%
Current value: $21.26
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $13.74
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $21.26

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.65
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $29.33
Potential profit: $23
Multiplier: 4.63x
User PnL: $6.34

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 32.6%
Current value: $7.21
Potential payout: $22.16
Potential profit: $14.94
Multiplier: 3.07x
User PnL: $7.21

No position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $13.21
Potential payout: $15.64
Potential profit: $2.42
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $10.37
Potential payout: $15.14
Potential profit: $4.77
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $10.37

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?

Ends Sep 15, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $9.53
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $5.48
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $8.93
Potential payout: $12.86
Potential profit: $3.92
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $8.93

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.95
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $3.1
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.06
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.03

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.52

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.34

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $5.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?

Yes 72% 5 shares
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Yes 92% 19.99 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?

No 99.3% 2.05 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?

Yes 76% 10 shares
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 84% 1.19 shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 47% 2.13 shares
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 84.6% 1.18 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.7% 1.17 shares
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 84.6% 1.18 shares
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 84.6% 1.18 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85% 1.18 shares