Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.87K
- Potential payout
- $33.82K
- Potential profit
- $30.95K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$235.56
Polymarket Trader
opa4aa
0x2f165454005415c1311e27def683e8405dc81e38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.04K
- Realized PnL
- $991.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $117.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $382.75
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $56.25
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $20.83
- Potential payout
- $119
- Potential profit
- $98.18
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Yes position
Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$59.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $27.26
- Potential payout
- $87.94
- Potential profit
- $60.68
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$20.23
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.06
Fritz position
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Korda
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.66
Yes position
Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.05
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.34
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.92
No position
Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91
UAE position
T20 World Cup: Canada vs UAE (Game 1)
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.31
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $12.47
Mboko position
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakina
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Zimbabwe position
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
Etcheverry position
Argentina Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Etcheverry
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Cocciaretto position
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Anastasia Zakharova
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.49
Collignon position
Pau: Raphael Collignon vs Luca Van Assche
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Bublik position
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublik
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will Andrey Esipenko vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Anish Giri win on 2026-04-01 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Harris position
Qatar Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Billy Harris
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 64% 312.5 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 80% 375 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 91% 1,010.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 97.8% 2,570 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 78% 2,570 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 2.9% 3,000 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 15,235 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 2.5% 3,000 shares
- Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?No 75% 19.85 shares
- Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?No 74% 9.92 shares
- Will Fabiano Caruana vs. Anish Giri end in a draw?No 73% 19.84 shares
- Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-03 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?Yes 95% 15.82 shares