Polymarket Trader

sdgdsgs

0x2f1f96f367000c751aa2425446cacc3815cb5845

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.58
Realized PnL: $81.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.59
Potential profit: $29.59
User PnL: -$7.99

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $16.12
Potential payout: $16.87
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $16.77
Potential payout: $16.81
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $16.43
Potential profit: $14.42
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$0.98

Zachary Svajda position

Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $2.88
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Blues position

Blues vs. Canucks

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Over position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.61

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

No position

Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Ursa position

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Carstensz position

Dota 2: Carstensz vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Valentin Vacherot position

Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Wimbledon ATP: Mattia Bellucci vs Zachary Svajda

Zachary Svajda 50% 3.92 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 27% 29.59 shares
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 92% 2.1 shares
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 90% 14.03 shares
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 93% 9.55 shares
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Yes 98% 8.08 shares
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 88.9% 16.87 shares
Sonmez vs. Bejlek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Over 51% 29.41 shares
Zeynep Sonmez vs. Sara Bejlek: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 50% 19.2 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 51% 11.75 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 20% 75 shares
Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Japan 99.9% 14.01 shares