No position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $338.66
- Potential payout
- $633
- Potential profit
- $294.35
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$72.8
Polymarket Trader
CalvinYoung7188
0x2f2fd1354e219060f0caacaf4801883d78dea8aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $489.68
- Realized PnL
- $1.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $131.62
- Potential payout
- $462
- Potential profit
- $330.38
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$39.32
No position
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $18.87
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $15.13
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$12.75
Yes position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $16.96
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.53
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.94
Yes position
Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $139.75
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.7
No position
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.12
No position
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $90.6
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks position
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Michigan State Spartans
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $90.3
Yes position
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.96
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.06x
- User PnL
- $44.43
No position
Will Venstre win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.92
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $24.95
Yes position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.19
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.98
Yes position
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.86
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.53
Yes position
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.54
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Illegal Alien" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.24
Yes position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.12
Yes position
Will DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.12
Yes position
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.57
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 23.9% 1,033 shares
- Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 16% 20 shares
- Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 25.9% 1,033 shares
- Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No 65% 633 shares
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 67% 642 shares
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-04-18?No 14% 667 shares
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-04-18?No 13% 50 shares
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 68% 642 shares
- Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-04-18?No 17% 717 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?No 9% 721 shares
- Named storm forms before hurricane season?No 56% 406 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 29, 2026?No 8% 13 shares