Polymarket Trader

topsecret17

0x2f33da3c370fa8634220297840316efd90650479

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.31K
Realized PnL: $4.49K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.03K
Potential profit: $327.03K
User PnL: -$11.84K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110K
Potential profit: $110K
User PnL: -$334.73

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $50.25K
Potential profit: $49.07K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$373.61

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.3K
Potential profit: $28.3K
User PnL: -$622.6

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.55K
Potential profit: $15.55K
User PnL: -$2.87K

No position

Bolsonaro guilty?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.73K
Potential profit: $13.73K
User PnL: -$1.57K

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $834.83
Potential payout: $8.79K
Potential profit: $7.95K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $7.64

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $294.5
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $5.06K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$93.19

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17K
Potential profit: $5.17K
User PnL: -$31.02

No position

Fed rate cut by September meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $3.19K
User PnL: -$538.62

No position

Fact Check: Is the suspect transgender?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$80.38

No position

Fed rate cut by October meeting?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Korea" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $663

Yes position

Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.37

No position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.93

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.51

Down position

Solana Up or Down on August 21?

Ends Aug 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $96.73

No position

Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.18

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.9

No position

Will Powell say "Labor" 25+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.9

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Syria strikes Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.97

Yes position

Ethereum above $4400 on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Another US debt downgrade in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.57

Down position

Solana Up or Down on August 23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.45

No position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Gaza" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "Samsung" or "Hyundai" during events with South Korean president on August 25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.4

No position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Submarine" during events with South Korean president on August 25?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.5

No position

U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13.36

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.72

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 0.6% 5,170.53 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 8% 2,000 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 9% 268.88 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by June 12, 2026?

No 19% 31.66 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 43.9% 2,112.33 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 46% 500.68 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 8% 2,655.96 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 9% 2,667.02 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 10% 56.9 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 10% 608.09 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 11% 20.49 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 11% 156.04 shares