Yes position
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $5.3K
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Polymarket Trader
villanita
0x2f489b7c34a54745280a973607c651ca6e2192ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.19
- Realized PnL
- $0.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $9.93
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.2
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.29
- Potential payout
- $7.29
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.64
- Potential payout
- $5.64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.59
- Potential profit
- $5.59
- User PnL
- -$4.19
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $2.64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $2.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Patrick Surtain II win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Saquon Barkley win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?
Ends Feb 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Ethereum all time high by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes 59% 3.92 shares
- Manchester City wins the Premier League?No 99.8% 3.33 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No 59% 8.2 shares
- Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?Yes 0.1% 5,300 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No 90% 9.93 shares
- Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?No 96.7% 2.64 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No 95.3% 2.16 shares
- Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 92% 3.02 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No 75% 5.59 shares
- Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 92% 2.62 shares
- Will the Liberal Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes 73% 6.52 shares
- Will Patrick Surtain II win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?Yes 93.6% 3.34 shares