Polymarket Trader

savakazakov

0x2f4d5e0fd6f430ba4628b93bffa06ad417be8f5c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.61
Realized PnL: $17.28
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$7.45

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$12.7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$4.64

No position

50% India tariff in effect by August 27?

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Globalism" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28
Potential profit: $1.28
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

No position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Turkey" 8+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Trump say "Turkey" 8+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: September

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

No 89.4% 14.08 shares
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?

Yes 5% 29.41 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: September

No 1.1% 13 shares
TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Yes 0.2% 5 shares
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?

No 74% 2.7 shares
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

No 62% 1.61 shares
US government shutdown in 2025?

Yes 52% 1 shares
US government shutdown in 2025?

No 54% 1 shares
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?

Yes 62% 1.61 shares
Will Trump say "Congratulate" or "Congratulations" during events with Polish president on September 3?

Yes 78% 1.28 shares
Will Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?

Yes 82% 1.22 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: September

No 23% 13 shares