Polymarket Trader

btcabal

0x2f4ef485d193aaaa6486267e9721f5efcdd53d8d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $673.67
Realized PnL: $236.79
Win rate: 91.3%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $531.37
Potential payout: $649.2
Potential profit: $117.83
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $5.52

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $142.2
Potential payout: $360
Potential profit: $217.8
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $52.2

Yes position

Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Crude Oil all time high by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.17

No position

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.19

No position

Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.23

No position

Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.06

No position

Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.11

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.2

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

No position

Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.34

No position

Arcium FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Yes position

Will o1 launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

No position

Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

Will Cap launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

No 27% 15 shares
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

No 99.2% 32.63 shares
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 96.8% 330.93 shares
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 94.1% 108.27 shares
Arcium FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 97% 79.38 shares
Arcium FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 98.7% 59.32 shares
Arcium FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 98% 133.13 shares
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 25% 10 shares
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 98.8% 220 shares
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 98.9% 200 shares
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 25 by June 30?

No 99% 10 shares
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 95.9% 5.1 shares