Polymarket Trader

raskolnikov...DeTodosLosSantos

0x2f4fda022241ae1f7d435b80b9324649f5f2728a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.95K
Realized PnL: $5.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.72K
User PnL: -$106.31

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$330.79

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $962.54
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $233.16
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $490.65

No position

Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$135.79

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402
Potential profit: $402
User PnL: -$112.56

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$22.2

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $153.6
Potential payout: $384
Potential profit: $230.4
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$36.89

No position

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $210.47
Potential payout: $379.22
Potential profit: $168.75
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$35.12

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $25.58
Potential payout: $312
Potential profit: $286.42
Multiplier: 12.20x
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $149.22
Potential payout: $286.97
Potential profit: $137.75
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: -$8.54

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$28.2

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.1%
Current value: $104.56
Potential payout: $200.89
Potential profit: $96.33
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $34.86

Yes position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $48.77
Potential payout: $199.05
Potential profit: $150.28
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$22.43

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$54

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $150.47
Potential payout: $151
Potential profit: $0.53
User PnL: $32.33

No position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.68
Potential profit: $136.68
User PnL: -$12.38

Yes position

Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.05
Potential profit: $123.05
User PnL: -$23.98

Yes position

Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $63.16
Potential payout: $118.06
Potential profit: $54.9
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $26.22

No position

Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $55.8
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $16.2
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.6
Potential profit: $69.6
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $67.77
Potential profit: $64.69
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.06
Potential profit: $58.06
User PnL: -$19.77

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $18.43
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $36.58
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

World Cup: Will the USA Play Iran?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $52.29
Potential profit: $52.26
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $948.19

No position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $614.43

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.25

No position

Will "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.24

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.23

No position

Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.94

No position

Will Davis Thompson finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ukraine" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220

Yes position

Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valspar Championship?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216

No position

Will Coinbase say "Blockchain" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.06

Yes position

Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.4

Yes position

Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.35

No position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.91

No position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.47

No position

Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.5

No position

Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.25

No position

Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.39

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.95

Yes position

Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.43

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.6

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 84.9% 6.01 shares
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85% 5 shares
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85% 67 shares
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 30 shares
Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 8.9% 30.34 shares
Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 2.8% 307.2 shares
Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 2.4% 57.08 shares
Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 2.4% 113.33 shares
Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 26% 77.46 shares
Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 15.7% 266.96 shares
Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 15.5% 67.3 shares
Will Iraq concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 10% 118 shares