Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
eranhaglili
0x2f535590dc4fd91582029a818774a2d5c8c54c54
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $272.73
- Realized PnL
- $278.62
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $13.18
- Potential payout
- $235.29
- Potential profit
- $222.12
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$26.82
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $38.42
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $183.8
- Multiplier
- 5.78x
- User PnL
- $18.42
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $129.3
- Potential profit
- $110.55
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$14.25
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $38.57
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $68.57
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $8.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $72.07
- Potential payout
- $72.73
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- $32.07
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $64.52
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $60.88
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $10.88
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $20.92
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $16.11
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.93
- Potential profit
- $26.93
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $2.88
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.16
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.85
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.86
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.37
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 41% 24.39 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.8% 24.42 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.8% 31.73 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 74.3% 26.93 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 31.5% 31.73 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 31% 64.52 shares
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?Yes 44.6% 44.85 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 54% 37.04 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 83.1% 24.07 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 5.4% 113.73 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 40.9% 24.43 shares